Diagnostic Tool

1 Energy Market Structure

1.1 General
Oil Self-Sufficiency
Share of Oil in Total Primary Energy Supply (SOES)
Energy Intensity
Cost of Oil Imports
1.2 Oil Consumption
by Sector
Transport
Industry
Residential
Commercial/Public
Electricity
Electricity Distribution Losses
1.3 Electricity Consumption
by Sector
Industry
Residential
Commercial/Public
 
 
 

2 Energy Pricing Policy & Cost Recovery

2.1 Cost Recovery by Sector
Transport
Electricity
 
2.2 Energy Subsidies
Fuel
Electricity
Total Energy

3 Energy Policy

4 Social Safety Nets

To the right is an outline of the dimensions needed to assess and measure the vulnerability of a country to high oil price scenarios.

Even though we identify the energy pricing policy dimension – electricity sector and the social safety net dimension as key dimensions to assess a country’s vulnerability to high oil prices, there is no source of information that gathers quantitative indicators for these dimensions for all countries in the world.

The Diagnostic Tool below provides key indicators that should be considered. Data entered in the yellow cells will be used to automatically calculate the values for the key indicators. The values of the indicators will be subjected to the Comparison Threshold Test.

The Comparison Threshold Test ensures the indicator values in the Country column (the first column of yellow cells) meets or exceeds the threshold values (the second column of yellow cells). If the country passes a test for a specific indicator, an open green flag open green flag is returned; if it fails, an open red flag open red flag is returned. For each group of indicators, a master, solid flag is returned. If the group is marked with a solid yellow flag solid yellow flag or solid red flag solid yellow flag, you may explore the possible interventions indicated in the final column.

You may modify any data in the yellow cells to refine the test for your specific situation. For convenience, a pull-down menu is provided below to pre-populate the country data for a number of countries. To provide a reference for the relative level of a specific indicator, we have included the OECD average as the threshold value. As a result, you can perform an initial self assessment of the relative vulnerability of your country with respect to OECD countries. (It is important to note that some OECD reference thresholds may not be applicable for all countries around the world, and as such they require a customized assessment by country and region.)

Please select a country:

  Comparison Threshold Test  
Source Indicators Units   Flags Interventions
  1 Energy Market Structure
  1.1 General
  Oil Self-Sufficiency (OSS) 1
EIA Oil Production K Barrels/Day   1  
EIA Oil Consumption K Barrels/Day   2  
  OSS = (Production - Consumption) / Consumption % 3
  Share of Oil in Total Primary Energy Supply (SOES) 2
IEA Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) K TOE   4  
IEA TPES: Oil – Crude K TOE   5  
IEA TPES: Oil – Other Petroleum Products K TOE   6  
IEA TPES: Biomass – Primary Solid K TOE   7  
IEA TPES: Biomass – Charcoal K TOE   8  
  SOES = Oil / TPES % 9
  SOES ex. Biomass = Oil / (TPES - Biomass) % 10
  Energy Intensity (EI) 3
IEA Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Current Prices US$B   11  
  EI = TPES / GDP TOE/US$1K 12
  EI ex. Biomass = (TPES - Biomass) / GDP TOE/US$1K 13
  Cost of Oil Imports 4
  Ton of Oil Equivalent (TOE) Barrels   14  
CME Price of Oil US$/Barrel   15  
IEA Net Oil Imports / GDP TOE/US$1K   16  
  Net Oil Imports / GDP % 17
  1.2 Oil Consumption by Sector  
  Transport 5
IEA Oil Consumption K TOE   18  
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Energy Supply % 19
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Oil Supply % 20
  Industry 6
IEA Oil Consumption K TOE   21  
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Energy Supply % 22
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Oil Supply % 23
  Residential 7
IEA Oil Consumption K TOE   24  
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Energy Supply % 25
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Oil Supply % 26
  Commercial/Public 8
IEA Oil Consumption K TOE   27  
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Energy Supply % 28
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Oil Supply % 29
  Electricity 9
IEA Oil Consumption K TOE   30  
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Energy Supply % 31
  Oil Consumption as Share of Total Oil Supply % 32
IEA Total Electricity Production Gwh   33  
IEA Oil-Based Electricity Production Gwh   34  
  Oil-Based Electricity Production as Share of Total Electricity Production % 35
  Electricity Distribution Losses 10
IEA Electricity Distribution Losses Gwh   36  
IEA Domestic Electricity Supply = Total Production + Imports - Exports Gwh   37  
  Electricity Distribution Losses as Share of Domestic Electricity Supply % 38
  1.3 Electricity Consumption by Sector  
IEA Total Annual Electricity Consumption Gwh   39  
  Industry 11
IEA Electricity Consumption Gwh   40  
  Electricity Consumption as Share of Total Electricity Consumption % 41
  Residential 12
IEA Electricity Consumption Gwh   42  
  Electricity Consumption as Share of Total Electricity Consumption % 43
  Commercial/Public 13
IEA Electricity Consumption Gwh   44  
  Electricity Consumption as Share of Total Electricity Consumption % 45
  2 Energy Pricing Policy & Cost Recovery  
  2.1 Cost Recovery by Sector   U.S. 2007    
  Transport 14
GTZ Cost Recovery Index Transport (CRIT) – Price of Gasoline US¢/liter 46
GTZ Cost Recovery Index Transport (CRIT) – Price of Diesel US¢/liter 47
  Electricity 15
World Bank Cost Recovery Index Electricity (CRIE) – Price of Residential Electricity US$/kWh 48
  2.2 Energy Subsidies  
Gov’t Budget Total Annual Government Expenditures (Total Budget) $ 49  
  Fuel (Transport) 16
Gov’t Budget Total Annual Government Subsidies $ 50  
  Subsidies as Share of Total Government Budget % 51
  Electricity 17
Gov’t Budget Total Annual Government Subsidies $ 52  
  Subsidies as Share of Total Government Budget % 53
  Total Energy 18
  Total Annual Government Subsidies $ 54  
  Subsidies as Share of Total Government Budget % 55
  3 Energy Policy always consider 30
  4 Social Safety Nets always consider 40